What Are The Chances Infographic


Dec 2010

Ken Tucker | POSTED IN Best Of, Blackjack | 100 COMMENTS

Have you ever wondered how likely it is that you’ll win the lottery, get struck by lightning or become a pro athlete? See the infographic below for the answers. Each pixel represents your chances. How lucky are you feeling?

What are the chances infographic

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100 Responses to What Are The Chances Infographic

  1. Christian says:

    You should include the chances of getting killed in a terrorist attack, which are astronomically low. Though the fear-mongers would not like us to believe that.

    • Jack says:

      wow way to take something interesting and turn it into propaganda for your beliefs why don’t you just stfu and enjoy it.

      • Jesse says:

        Propaganda is something that is false in order to persuade people to one side of an argument. It can’t be propaganda if it’s true my man.

        • HSMagnet says:

          lol read a dictionary

          it just has to be designed to influence people towards some belief or cause

          truth and validity are irrelevant

          so you are a propagandist

        • Reed A. Dictionary says:

          Ironically, you have selectively represented the facts, especially in a misleading way, to persuade someone to your side of the argument. That is the worst kind of propaganda, but not the entirety of it.

          • Angel says:

            There still isn’t really a reason to get that offended by it… People freak out way too much about mountain lion and shark attacks. Why not show how they freak out way too much over terrorist attacks?

        • Ryan says:

          Actually, it can be propaganda if it’s true. The word propaganda is usually assumed to refer to something not truthful, but really it can be truthful.

        • James says:

          Propaganda is not, by definition, false. Very often it is, or at least exagerated, but any sort of effort to persuade opinion on a macro level, either positively or negatively, is propaganda.
          It is propaganda, but it’s also a decent point and completely true.

      • chris says:

        i dont see y u guys r taking this so seriously its just statistics, if any of u people have taken any form of a stats class u would know that these numbers could all change drastically and besides that i didnt see any propaganda

      • Rusty says:

        I totally agree with you that was super interesting and he totally made it suck

    • Ann says:

      Guess who is are the top fear mongers.. terrorists.. and while the chances of being killed by one may be low (depending on your definition of terrorist, you seem ignorant though so I assume you mean terrorists of middle eastern descent) the chances of being affected by their actions is really very high. So I don’t why you felt the need to share that on something that is just supposed to be fun but I hope you don’t come off so pompous and naive in person.

      • Bernadette says:

        Who is are? How is being struck by lightning fun? How is being killed by a mountain lion just for fun? Where did you get your facts on being affected by terrorists actions is really very high?

      • George says:

        Thanks for illustrating exactly what he meant. Who’s fear mongering, when you are the one claiming “chances of being affected by terrorism” are “really very high”. Now that’s calming and realistic, right? ZOMG.

        • Dangell says:

          Sometimes the internet makes me lose faith in people. This entire conversation (all sides of it) is an example. You all missed the point of everybody else’s argument. Way to go guys. I hate the internet.

          “STUF! Why don’t you get off it then a**hole?”
          “Wow, somebody’s pretentious.”
          “You do realize you are no better by replying right?”
          “Ur dum.”

          Getting off.
          It’s hard not to be in this case.
          Good bye.

    • charlie says:

      nice tr0000000lll brooo

    • Abril says:

      i think the likeliness of getting killed by random objects such as carrots, mattresses, flea infestation, cars blowing up, etc should be added(:

    • Thats Right says:

      I was thinking the same thing. And I would have enjoyed the graphic more if I saw it. It is true, we have so many more pressing things to worry about and yet we are willing to give up our rights and the rights of all future Americans for nothing more than security theater.

    • Rusty Shakelford says:

      The only terrorist in the U.S is our own government.
      Hell, we elect them into office.

    • neet says:

      Tell that to the people in Iraq or London or Madrid…

  2. Lizz says:

    What are the chances of changing social classes in the span of a lifetime?

  3. shaun mcclanahan says:

    wooooo!! lets do this

  4. Steve says:

    The Winning $1000 at McDonald’s thing surprised me. I had no idea the odds were so bad!

    Also, you spelled “being” wrong on “Beeing [sic] born with 11 fingers”.

    — Author Note: That is definitely spelled wrong, I will have it fixed shortly. Thanks for bringing it to our attention.

  5. EtonaLife says:

    Great graphic. I like that astronauts are more rare than presidents… Although, I would like to play a devil’s advocate for a second.

    Even though your odds of winning the lottery are terribly low, your odds of winning if you don’t play is a solid zero. But, if you’re willing to throw one dollar to purchase a ticket for that game, the difference from zero to the odds of 1 in even 130 million are astronomical! Now, your odds benefit decreases as you buy more tickets, so there’s no reason to waste your wages on playing the games. However, what is one dollar a week or a month to you?

    Also, as a side-note benefit, the lottery is really a voluntary tax right. So by playing 1 dollar, you’re helping to fund schools! Get your neighbors to play, they’ll love you if they’re 1 in 130million! =}

    • Rowan Watson says:

      too right. and besides, someone always wins eventually, and their odds are the same as mine (or thereabouts), so why not throw down a buck when the prize gets ridiculously huge? you never know. just don’t spend the rent, or even the beer money hahaha.

    • Txabi says:

      If so would play every week, but the truth is that all this money in the end only serves to line the pockets of four political

    • dirtprof says:

      There’s a rational approach to this–compare the value of the dollar you spent and the ticket you bought. The expected net benefit of keeping the dollar is the dollar itself, of course, plus the value of your time and energy used in getting it. The expected net pre-tax benefit of the lottery ticket is $198,000,000 (the current estimated jackpot) divided by 135,145,920, which is about $1.47. That says “buy the ticket, it’s worth more than your dollar”. But wait! You’d have to pay Uncle Sam at least $69,270,362 in income taxes (from the IRS 2009 tax table), which means you’d really only net $128,729,638. So your after-tax expected value of the lottery ticket is really $128,729,638 divided by 135,145,920, or $0.95.

    • Lenora says:

      bet the chances of the money actually going to education is pretty low as well.

  6. James Smith Joรฃo Pessoa, Brazil says:

    What are the chances of getting a member of the religious reich to respond rationally to anything?

    • Shemp says:

      Probably about as likely as you taking a logic course and realizing what ad hominem and red herring are. Throwing a flawed argument out on the comments section of an infographic on a gaming website is definitely the way to get your (ignorant) voice across. Ignorant not because of your views, of course, but because you suck at articulating them.

    • Will Battle says:

      This makes you sound as narrow-minded as the very group you are claiming is…. overgeneralizing is the single most, scholarly challenged, logical fallacy ever… period…. ask anyone worthy of being open minded who has a college degree worth anything… they will tell you this exact thing.

  7. AnonyMouse says:

    St00pid getting attacked by a shark is 0% chance if your on land,
    but if you go out on sea and swim around with them your chances wouldn’t look so bright ๐Ÿ™‚

  8. shapewear says:

    I think that the probability of you getting hit by lightning is higher than you winning in the lottery.

  9. HD Humor says:

    The chances…are good!

  10. Kendra Lee says:

    …So there’s a chance! *buys 10 tickets*

  11. megan says:

    eh, i still play the lottery ๐Ÿ™‚ WORTH A SHOT

    • John says:

      It is a tax for people who will never understand math. I will never understand people. You probably voted for bush (there is a ‘chance’ he will not act like an inbred idiot and destroy my country)..

  12. linalmeemow says:

    So you have a better chance of becoming president of the USA than
    of being attacked by a shark? There were 39 shark attacks in the USA alone in 2006. I’m pretty sure there weren’t more than 39 presidents.

    Sounds fishy to me…

  13. Dan says:

    some of these odds are not accurate. The President one especially. The words used imply that becoming president is like a lottery where everyone has an equal chance which is not true. I don’t have the same chances as say a Yale graduate with presidential aspiration and powerful connections.

    Where if you are playing cards the odd of being dealt a royal flush stays the same as long as the deck is shuffled every time.

    • Kathryn says:

      Agreed. Surely more people are attacked by sharks that become President of the USA? I for have have no chance of presidency, not being a US citizen, so where does that enter into the statistics?

    • greg says:

      The statistic is for someone picked out of the general population at random. The chances of someone dying of cancer are higher if they expose themselves to carcinogens every day but in general the probability is taking everyone into account.

    • eevee says:

      It’s like you have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 2 on a die. That doesn’t mean I’m ever going to roll a die, it’s just a statistic.
      What this really shows is a ratio; the number of people who will be president compared to the number of people who won’t, rather than something created specifically for your job.

  14. harry says:

    holy $h!t 1 in 2 chance of getting cancer!

    • AL says:

      Actually your chances of getting cancer are 1 in 1, that’s right, 100% . . . if you live long enough. If you outlive every other way to die you will eventually get cancer. Your body will naturally “turn on itself.” Every time a cell replicates it loses a telomere (part of the genetic coding for replication). If you live long enough your cells loose too many telomeres to replicate properly and start growing out of control. This is cancer. That’s why it can’t be “cured.” We’re all going to die. Start getting used to the idea.

  15. WHAT says:

    These stats are false. The chance of becoming president is much lower that one in 10 million, there are close to 3 hundred million Americans; even if everyone lived for a hundred years, at 4 years per term there are only 25 presidential terms per century. That leads to a probability of about 1 in 12 million. However, the assumption that everyone live for 100 years is clearly false, so that makes the actually odds much worse than this. Also, the fact that many presidents serve multiple terms makes these odds even worse. Cool stats, but I wouldn’t trust any of these numbers.

  16. Kendall says:

    Note from Admin of OnlineBlackjack.com:

    Thanks for all the comments. I know some comments are questioning the validity of the odds, I would agree that not all of them are scientific and likely are a bit off. Though they are commonly quoted stats and the point of the infographic is to give you a general idea of how unlikely certain things can be.

  17. Zach says:

    Oddly, all I get is the description, a line, then responses. Where’s the infographic??

  18. Wes says:

    All odds are 50/50…..either said event will happpen, or it won’t.

  19. Denny says:

    At the end it should say, Chances of being you: 1 in 6,800,000,000

  20. nibbles says:

    at the end, it should say “chances of you losing your virginity: forget about it.

  21. Ed Magowan says:

    How about the odds of the OTHER lane of traffic moving faster? ๐Ÿ™‚

    • John says:

      Odds of you not even noticing when your lane is moving faster = 100%
      take a chill pill and observe reality.

    • Jerry says:

      I proved this on the M25 round London. I observed the other lane for 3 minutes, changed lane and found that my new lane now went slower. I did this 8 times out of 10. Not exactly scientific but damn frustrating!

  22. Mark says:

    I don’t understand why the chances of becoming President of the USA are 1/10,000,000. Of the hundreds of millions (well, perhaps billions?) of people who have lived in the US during any of our 43 presidents, one out of every 10,000,000 of them seems like more presidents than we’ve had. Surely, more people have been attacked by sharks in the history of the world than have become president…

  23. Kathleen says:

    Likelihood of dying in a plane crash actually depends on the airline:

  24. J says:

    Surely your odds of becoming a pro athlete are much higher than winning an academy award.

    There are 24 Oscar categories now. Even if 3 people shared each award that would be 72 Oscars a year. You’d only need each NFL team and NHL team to create a single pro athlete in the year the odds are about the same.

  25. Ralphy Boy says:

    Actually the chances of you being you are far greater than 6,800,000,000 to one. Given all the potential sperm/egg combinations that did and didn’t occur in your and all of your ancestors’ lifetime(s). Statistically speaking, you don’t even exist.

  26. Dockett says:

    What are the chances of being born?

  27. LaneMuthaFucka says:

    Think about this-
    We can’t be God’s only project.
    There is a literally limitless universe, and WE’RE the only intelligent life out there?
    fuck that. There are an untold number of molecules in your fingertip, how do you know there’s not a galaxy in one of them?
    Men In Black got it fuckin right, man.

  28. Jon says:

    Wow I enjoyed the stats but I read a few comments and got to hear people jumping up each others throats* . I feel a strong feeling of hate for this page and everybody on it now. Thanks for ruining my fun.

    *admin edit

  29. Jerry says:

    how can i get a chance to get 1 million $ ?

  30. cs says:

    Edible Oysters do not contain pearls.

  31. LaurenLugosi says:

    Whoah,… $*%T just got real deep.

  32. Shunka says:

    Chances of anything ever posted on the internet, regardless of subject, causing an argument 1 in 1 .

  33. PlayForFunOnly says:

    Investment guru Jonathan Pond called the lottery a “tax on the naive.”

  34. RichInSydney says:

    Population of US: 310million. average life expectancy: 78 years. average number of presidents in a 78 year period: 20. So, not taking into account factors such as how many of the population are eligible to become president, the age range allowed for a president, etc, chances of becoming president (using only US figures) is closer to 1:15,000,000.

    Appreciate the sentiments of this page (ie. don’t waste money gambling), however I think it would be far more powerful if the figures were a little more accurate, allowing people to focus on the message rather than the numbers.

    p.s. My chances of becoming US president: 0 – I’m Australian ๐Ÿ™‚

  35. Matthew says:

    This is actually pretty interesting. Heh. I get the fact that these are all statistically speaking, not exact, unlike some people (Please don’t start an argument….). If you actually think about it, how can anything posted a few months ago be exact to every person reading it now? At least, I don’t think that technology has been created yet…

  36. That Guy says:

    You all are so ignorant it’s beautiful. Stumbling FTW!!

  37. dave curran ireland says:

    i won the big lotto as a sperm.now i am 785000000th on the worlds rich list.not bad eh.

  38. Ballz says:

    To the people who are arguing about terrorism: Shut the %&# up!

    To the man who created this Infographic… thank you sir, I was very interested in these statistics.

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